XEQT vs Taking CPP at 60, 65, or 70: The Math Behind Canada’s Biggest Retirement Decision

It was Thanksgiving weekend and my uncle Dave had cornered me in the kitchen. The turkey was still in the oven. My aunt was yelling something about the cranberry sauce. And Dave – a retired electrician from Hamilton who had never once asked me about investing – was gripping a printout from the Service Canada website like it was a ransom note.

“They’re telling me I can take CPP now at 60, but it’s less money. Or I wait and get more. How much more? They won’t tell me in plain English. I’ve been reading these forums and everybody’s got a different opinion.”

He was 59. He was stressed. And he was about to make a decision worth tens of thousands of dollars based on a Reddit thread he’d half-read on his phone.

I took the printout, sat down at the kitchen table, and we ran through the numbers together – right there, between the mashed potatoes and the dinner rolls. By the time the turkey came out, Dave had a plan.

This page is that kitchen table conversation, except with better tables and no risk of gravy stains. If you’re a Canadian approaching retirement and trying to figure out when to start CPP – and whether investing in XEQT changes the equation – this is the most important math you’ll do this decade.

Let me break it down.

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1. How CPP Timing Actually Works

The Canada Pension Plan lets you choose when to start receiving payments between the ages of 60 and 70. The “standard” age is 65 – that’s the baseline everything else is calculated from.

Here’s what most Canadians don’t realize: the penalty for starting early and the bonus for delaying are not small adjustments. They are massive.

Let me put that in dollars.

| Scenario | Monthly Payment (Average) | Monthly Payment (Maximum) | Annual Total (Average) | Annual Total (Maximum) | |---|---|---|---|---| | **CPP at 60** | $512 | $870 | $6,144 | $10,444 | | **CPP at 65** | $800 | $1,360 | $9,600 | $16,320 | | **CPP at 70** | $1,136 | $1,931 | $13,632 | $23,174 |

Read that last row again. The difference between starting at 60 and waiting until 70 is more than double the monthly payment. Someone receiving the average CPP goes from $512/month to $1,136/month just by waiting ten years.

That’s a $624/month difference. For the rest of your life.

But here’s the thing nobody mentions in the government pamphlets: the person who takes CPP at 60 gets paid for ten extra years before the person who waits until 70 sees a single dollar. And that head start matters.


2. The Break-Even Analysis: When Does Waiting Actually Pay Off?

This is the question that was eating my uncle Dave alive. If you take CPP early, you get smaller cheques – but you get them for longer. If you delay, you get bigger cheques – but you miss out on years of income.

At some point, the person who delayed catches up to the person who started early. That’s the break-even age.

Let’s run the numbers using the average CPP payment of $800/month at age 65.

Break-Even: Age 60 vs Age 65

| Age | Cumulative CPP (Start at 60) | Cumulative CPP (Start at 65) | Who's Ahead? | |---|---|---|---| | 60 | $6,144 | $0 | Start at 60 | | 62 | $18,432 | $0 | Start at 60 | | 65 | $30,720 | $0 | Start at 60 | | 67 | $43,008 | $19,200 | Start at 60 | | 70 | $61,440 | $48,000 | Start at 60 | | 72 | $73,728 | $67,200 | Start at 60 | | **74** | **$85,995** | **$86,400** | **Start at 65 catches up** | | 77 | $104,448 | $115,200 | Start at 65 | | 80 | $122,880 | $144,000 | Start at 65 | | 85 | $153,600 | $192,000 | Start at 65 |

The break-even point between taking CPP at 60 vs 65 is approximately age 74. If you live past 74, you would have been better off waiting until 65.

Break-Even: Age 65 vs Age 70

| Age | Cumulative CPP (Start at 65) | Cumulative CPP (Start at 70) | Who's Ahead? | |---|---|---|---| | 65 | $9,600 | $0 | Start at 65 | | 68 | $28,800 | $0 | Start at 65 | | 70 | $48,000 | $0 | Start at 65 | | 73 | $76,800 | $40,896 | Start at 65 | | 76 | $105,600 | $81,792 | Start at 65 | | 79 | $134,400 | $122,688 | Start at 65 | | 80 | $144,000 | $136,320 | Start at 65 | | **82** | **$163,200** | **$163,584** | **Start at 70 catches up** | | 85 | $192,000 | $204,480 | Start at 70 | | 90 | $240,000 | $272,640 | Start at 70 |

The break-even point between taking CPP at 65 vs 70 is approximately age 82. If you live past 82, you would have been better off delaying to 70.

What's the Average Canadian Life Expectancy?

A 65-year-old Canadian man can expect to live to about 84. A 65-year-old Canadian woman can expect to live to about 87. That puts most Canadians well past both break-even points -- which is why many financial planners default to recommending a delay.

But this analysis is missing something crucial. It treats every dollar the same, whether you receive it today or in ten years. It ignores the time value of money. And for anyone who plans to invest their CPP payments – say, in a low-cost, globally diversified ETF like XEQT – that changes everything.


3. The XEQT Twist: Take CPP at 60 and Invest the Difference

Here’s where things get interesting. What if, instead of just spending your early CPP payments, you take CPP at 60 and invest every dollar into XEQT inside a TFSA or taxable account?

XEQT holds over 9,000 stocks across the globe. It’s designed for long-term growth. Historically, a globally diversified equity portfolio has returned roughly 8-10% annually over long periods. Let’s use a conservative 8% average annual return for this analysis.

Scenario: Take CPP at 60, Invest in XEQT for 5 Years (Until 65)

Using the average CPP amount – $512/month starting at 60 – and investing every payment into XEQT at 8% annual growth:

| Year | Age | Annual CPP Received | Cumulative Invested | Portfolio Value (8% growth) | |---|---|---|---|---| | 1 | 60 | $6,144 | $6,144 | $6,390 | | 2 | 61 | $6,144 | $12,288 | $13,291 | | 3 | 62 | $6,144 | $18,432 | $20,738 | | 4 | 63 | $6,144 | $24,576 | $28,771 | | 5 | 64 | $6,144 | $30,720 | $37,436 |

By age 65, you’ve invested $30,720 of CPP payments – but thanks to compounding in XEQT, that money has grown to approximately $37,436.

Now let that portfolio keep compounding while you continue receiving your $512/month CPP:

| Age | XEQT Portfolio (from early CPP) | Ongoing CPP at $512/mo | Total Wealth (Portfolio + Cumulative CPP from 65+) | |---|---|---|---| | 65 | $37,436 | $512/mo continuing | $37,436 | | 70 | $54,995 | + $30,720 received | $85,715 | | 75 | $80,810 | + $61,440 received | $142,250 | | 80 | $118,745 | + $92,160 received | $210,905 |

Compare that to someone who waited until 65 for $800/month and simply spent the money as income. By age 80, the “take it early and invest” person has the ongoing CPP income plus a six-figure XEQT portfolio generating its own returns.

That XEQT portfolio is wealth the “wait until 65” person never builds.

This is the part that the basic break-even analysis misses entirely. Yes, the person who waits until 65 eventually collects more total CPP dollars. But the person who takes it at 60 and invests has a compounding asset working in the background.

If you want to understand how that compounding works over decades, I wrote a full breakdown in the XEQT retirement planning guide.

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4. Scenario Comparison: All Three CPP Timing Strategies Side by Side

Let’s put all three scenarios next to each other. For each, we’ll assume the person invests any CPP payments received before age 65 into XEQT at 8% annual returns. After 65, CPP is used as income.

Using the average CPP payment ($800/month at 65):

| Age | Take at 60 (CPP + XEQT Portfolio) | Take at 65 (CPP Only) | Take at 70 (CPP Only) | |---|---|---|---| | 60 | $6,144 received, investing | $0 | $0 | | 65 | $37,436 portfolio + $512/mo income | $800/mo income begins | $0 | | 70 | $55,000 portfolio + $512/mo income | $48,000 cumulative CPP | $1,136/mo income begins | | 74 | $74,700 portfolio + $512/mo income | $86,400 cumulative CPP | $54,528 cumulative CPP | | 80 | $118,700 portfolio + $512/mo income | $144,000 cumulative CPP | $136,320 cumulative CPP | | 85 | $174,400 portfolio + $512/mo income | $192,000 cumulative CPP | $204,480 cumulative CPP | | 90 | $256,200 portfolio + $512/mo income | $240,000 cumulative CPP | $272,640 cumulative CPP |

Here’s what jumps out: the “take at 60 and invest” strategy creates a growing asset. By age 85, the XEQT portfolio alone is worth $174,400 – and that’s only from five years of investing early CPP payments. Meanwhile, CPP payments at $512/month continue.

The total wealth picture – portfolio plus cumulative CPP – makes the “take early and invest” strategy surprisingly competitive, even against the 42% bonus of delaying to 70.

But here’s where I need to be honest with you.


5. Why the Math Isn’t the Whole Story

If investing early CPP payments into XEQT looks so good on paper, why doesn’t every financial planner recommend it?

Because the market doesn’t guarantee 8% every year. That 8% is an average over decades. In any given five-year stretch, XEQT could return 15% or it could return -5%. This is called sequence of returns risk, and it hits hardest when you’re withdrawing or relying on a portfolio in retirement.

CPP, on the other hand, is a guaranteed, inflation-indexed, government-backed payment for life. You cannot outlive it. It doesn’t drop when the market crashes. It goes up with inflation every year.

The Guaranteed vs Probable Trade-Off

Delaying CPP to 70 is like buying a **guaranteed annuity** that pays 42% more than the base amount, indexed to inflation, for the rest of your life. No investment product in Canada offers anything comparable at that price. Taking CPP early and investing in XEQT is a bet -- a historically reasonable bet, but a bet nonetheless -- that equity markets will outperform the guaranteed CPP increase. Both strategies have merit. The right choice depends on your personal situation.

6. Key Factors That Should Influence Your Decision

This is not a one-size-fits-all calculation. Here are the factors that actually matter:

Health and Family Longevity

This is the elephant in the room. If your parents lived to 90+ and you’re in good health, delaying CPP to 70 is probably the right call. You’ll blow past both break-even points and collect significantly more money over your lifetime.

If you have serious health concerns or a family history of shorter lifespans, taking CPP at 60 makes mathematical sense. You’ll collect more total dollars in the years you have.

Nobody likes thinking about this. But it’s the single biggest variable in the equation.

Other Retirement Income

Do you have a defined-benefit pension from work? A large RRSP or TFSA portfolio? Rental income?

If you have enough other income to cover your expenses from 60-70, delaying CPP is powerful. You’re effectively using your savings to “buy” a higher guaranteed income for life.

If you’re retiring at 60 with limited savings and need the income to pay bills, taking CPP early isn’t a failure – it’s a practical necessity. Don’t let anyone make you feel guilty about it.

This ties directly into the RRSP meltdown strategy, where you draw down your RRSPs between 60-70 while delaying CPP and OAS.

Tax Bracket Considerations

CPP payments are taxable income. If you’re still working at 60 and earning a good salary, taking CPP early means stacking those payments on top of employment income – and you could be paying 30-40% marginal tax on CPP dollars you don’t even need.

In that case, delaying CPP until you’re in a lower tax bracket (after you stop working) could save you thousands in taxes.

On the flip side, if you retire at 60 with low other income, taking CPP early keeps your income modest and your tax rate low.

OAS Clawback Risk

If your total income exceeds approximately $90,997 (2025 threshold), you start losing your Old Age Security payments. A higher CPP payment from delaying to 70 could push you into clawback territory – especially when combined with RRSP withdrawals, pension income, and investment returns.

For high-income retirees, taking CPP earlier at a lower amount might actually preserve more OAS, resulting in higher total government benefits.

Spouse and Survivor Benefits

When one spouse dies, the surviving spouse receives a CPP survivor’s pension – but it’s capped. If both spouses are already receiving CPP, the survivor’s combined benefit is limited to the maximum individual amount.

This means if one spouse has a generous CPP and the other doesn’t, the timing decision should be coordinated. More on this below.


7. The Spousal CPP Coordination Strategy

If you’re married or in a common-law partnership, the CPP timing decision is not individual – it’s a household decision. And most couples get this wrong because they think about it in isolation.

Here’s a strategy worth considering:

The higher-earning spouse delays CPP to 70. The lower-earning spouse takes CPP at 60.

Why? Three reasons:

  1. Maximize the survivor benefit. If the higher-earning spouse dies first, the surviving lower-earning spouse inherits a larger survivor pension (based on the delayed, higher amount). This provides better financial protection for the surviving spouse.

  2. Bridge income. The lower-earning spouse’s early CPP provides household income during the delay period, reducing the need to draw down savings.

  3. Tax splitting. CPP pension sharing (available after age 65) lets couples split CPP income for tax purposes. By maximizing one spouse’s CPP and taking the other’s early, you create more opportunities for effective income splitting.

This is advanced retirement planning, and it connects directly to the glide path transition strategy I wrote about for couples moving from accumulation to decumulation.

CPP Pension Sharing

After both spouses turn 65, you can apply to share your CPP retirement pensions. This doesn't change the total amount paid -- it splits the income between two tax returns, potentially lowering your household's overall tax bill. The amount you can share depends on how long you lived together during your contributory period.

8. The “Take Early and Invest” Strategy: A Realistic Assessment

I want to be fair to both sides here. Let me lay out the honest pros and cons of taking CPP at 60 and investing the payments in XEQT.

When It Works Well

When It Doesn’t Work

For anyone over 50 who’s just starting to take investing seriously, the answer often depends on how much time you have to ride out market volatility.


9. The Decision Framework

I promised my uncle Dave a clear framework, and I’ll give you one too. Ask yourself these questions in order:

Question 1: Do you need the money at 60 to cover basic living expenses?

Question 2: Are you still working and earning a high income at 60?

Question 3: Do you have enough savings (RRSP, TFSA, pension) to bridge you from 60 to 70?

Question 4: How’s your health? Family longevity?

Question 5: Do you have a spouse to coordinate with?

Question 6: Will you actually invest early CPP payments in XEQT?

The Honest Answer for Most Canadians

For the average Canadian in good health with moderate savings, delaying CPP to at least 65 -- and ideally 70 -- is usually the best move. The guaranteed, inflation-indexed income is incredibly valuable, and most people will live long enough to benefit. But if you have the discipline, the TFSA room, and the risk tolerance, taking CPP at 60 and investing in XEQT is a legitimate strategy that deserves serious consideration.

10. How the 4% Rule Connects to Your CPP Decision

Here’s something that ties this all together. If you’re planning your retirement withdrawals using the 4% rule, your CPP timing changes how much you need in your portfolio.

Every dollar of guaranteed CPP income reduces the amount you need to withdraw from your XEQT portfolio. A higher CPP payment from delaying means a lower required portfolio withdrawal, which means your portfolio lasts longer.

| CPP Timing | Monthly CPP (Average) | Annual CPP | Annual Spending Gap (Assuming $40K/yr needs) | Portfolio Needed (4% Rule) | |---|---|---|---|---| | **At 60** | $512 | $6,144 | $33,856 | $846,400 | | **At 65** | $800 | $9,600 | $30,400 | $760,000 | | **At 70** | $1,136 | $13,632 | $26,368 | $659,200 |

Look at that last column. Delaying CPP to 70 means you need $187,200 less in your portfolio to generate the same retirement income as someone who took CPP at 60. That’s almost $200,000 less you need to save.

That’s not a small number. For many Canadians, the difference between needing $846,000 and needing $659,000 is the difference between retiring comfortably and working three more years.


11. What I Told Uncle Dave

We sat at that kitchen table for about forty minutes. The turkey got cold. My aunt was not happy.

But Dave walked away with clarity. Here’s what we landed on:

Dave was 59, in decent health (his dad lived to 88), had a modest pension from his electrician’s union, and had about $180,000 in his RRSP. His wife Carol was 57 with a smaller CPP entitlement and no pension.

The plan: Dave delays CPP to 70. He uses a combination of his union pension and RRSP withdrawals to bridge from 60 to 70, melting down the RRSP while his tax rate is low. Carol takes her CPP at 60 and they invest her early payments into XEQT in her TFSA.

This gives them:

It’s not the simplest strategy. But it’s worth tens of thousands of dollars over their retirement.

Dave texts me every few months now. Last message: “Portfolio’s up 12% this year. Tell your aunt I said sorry about the turkey.”


The Bottom Line

The CPP timing decision is not just about break-even ages and spreadsheets. It’s about your health, your spouse, your savings, your tax situation, and your ability to stick to a plan.

Here’s what I know for certain:

I’ve written extensively about building that complete picture in the XEQT retirement planning guide. If you haven’t read it yet, start there after this page.

And if you’re still a few decades away from this decision? Good. You have time. The best thing you can do right now is open an account, start buying XEQT, and let compounding do the heavy lifting so that by the time you’re 60, the CPP timing question is a nice problem to have – not a stressful one.

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