XEQT vs Individual Stocks: Which Investment Strategy Actually Wins?

One of the biggest decisions new investors face: Should I pick individual stocks or just buy XEQT?

The allure of stock picking is powerful - finding the next Amazon or Tesla could make you rich. But the reality is that 95% of individual investors underperform simple index investing over the long term.

In this honest comparison, we’ll break down XEQT vs individual stocks across every metric that matters: returns, risk, time, and probability of success.

Quick Comparison: XEQT vs Individual Stocks

The Case for XEQT

Advantages:

✅ Instant diversification - Own 9,000+ companies globally ✅ Lower risk - No single company can destroy your portfolio ✅ Minimal time commitment - Set and forget investing ✅ Guaranteed market returns - Match the market’s performance ✅ Lower stress - No need to watch individual stock prices ✅ Automatic rebalancing - Professionals manage it for you ✅ No research required - Just buy and hold ✅ Lower fees - 0.20% MER vs trading costs

Disadvantages:

❌ Can’t beat the market - Limited to market returns ❌ No thrill of picking winners - Boring but effective ❌ Average returns - Won’t 10x your money overnight ❌ No control - Can’t choose which companies you own

The Case for Individual Stocks

Advantages:

✅ Potential to beat the market - If you’re skilled and lucky ✅ Full control - Choose exactly what you own ✅ Learning opportunity - Deep understanding of companies ✅ Potential outsized returns - Could find the next Amazon ✅ Intellectual satisfaction - Engaging and challenging ✅ Tax loss harvesting - More opportunities than one ETF

Disadvantages:

❌ 95% underperform - Most stock pickers lose to index funds ❌ High time commitment - Research is time-consuming ❌ Emotional stress - Individual stocks are volatile ❌ Single company risk - One bankruptcy can hurt badly ❌ Higher costs - More trading = more fees ❌ Requires expertise - Need to understand financial statements ❌ Behavioral mistakes - Emotional decisions hurt returns

Performance Reality Check

Historical Data: Active vs Passive

According to the S&P SPIVA Canada Scorecard:

Over 15 years:

• 89% of active fund managers underperformed their benchmark
• 95% of individual investors underperformed the market
• Index investors matched market returns (minus low fees)

Translation: If you pick stocks, you have a 5% chance of beating XEQT over 15 years.

Why Do Most Stock Pickers Fail?

1. Behavioral mistakes - Buying high, selling low
2. Overconfidence - Thinking you’re smarter than the market
3. Lack of diversification - Too concentrated in few stocks
4. Trading costs - Fees erode returns
5. Tax inefficiency - Frequent trading creates tax drag
6. Information disadvantage - Competing against professionals

Time Commitment Comparison

XEQT Investing Time:

Monthly: 5 minutes

• Log into brokerage
• Buy more XEQT
• Done

Annual: 30 minutes

• Check portfolio once
• Rebalance if needed (usually not)
• Review investment goals

Total annual time: ~1.5 hours

Individual Stock Investing Time:

Weekly: 5-10 hours

• Research potential stocks
• Read financial statements
• Monitor existing positions
• Track news and earnings
• Analyze competitors

Quarterly: 10-20 hours

• Deep dive on earnings reports
• Reassess positions
• Research new opportunities

Total annual time: 300+ hours

Opportunity cost: What else could you do with 300 hours per year?

Risk Comparison

XEQT Risk Profile:

Market risk only - The entire market could drop

• Diversified across 9,000 companies
• If one company fails, minimal impact (0.01% of portfolio)
• Automatic rebalancing reduces risk
• Geographic diversification

Maximum realistic loss: 30-50% during severe bear markets (recoverable)

Individual Stocks Risk Profile:

Market risk + Company-specific risk - Market AND individual companies can fail

• Concentrated in 5-20 stocks
• If one company fails, could lose 5-20% of portfolio
• Manual rebalancing required
• Often concentrated geographically

Maximum realistic loss: 80-100% if concentrated in wrong stocks (potentially permanent)

Real-World Examples:

2008 Financial Crisis:

• XEQT-style portfolio: Down 40%, recovered fully by 2013
• Bank stock investors: Down 80-90%, some never recovered

COVID-19 Crash (2020):

• XEQT-style portfolio: Down 30%, recovered in 6 months
• Airline stock investors: Down 70%, still not recovered

Enron, Nortel, BlackBerry, etc.: Individual stock investors lost 100%

Returns Analysis: What Can You Actually Expect?

XEQT Expected Returns:

Long-term average: 8-10% annually

Over 30 years with $500/month:

• Starting balance: $0
• Final balance: ~$745,000
• Total contributions: $180,000
• Total gains: ~$565,000

Probability of success: ~100% (barring global economic collapse)

Individual Stocks Expected Returns:

Average investor: 3-5% annually (underperforms by 3-5%)

Skilled stock picker (top 5%): 12-15% annually

Most investors: Underperform the market

Over 30 years with $500/month (average 5%):

• Starting balance: $0
• Final balance: ~$416,000
• Total contributions: $180,000
• Total gains: ~$236,000

Difference: $329,000 less than XEQT due to underperformance

The Hybrid Approach: Core-Satellite Strategy

Many investors use a combination:

80% XEQT / 20% Individual Stocks

Benefits:

• Core holdings (XEQT) ensure you capture market returns
• Satellite holdings (stocks) let you try to beat the market
• Limited downside from stock picking mistakes
• Satisfies desire to pick stocks without risking everything

Example portfolio:

• $40,000 in XEQT (core)
• $10,000 in 5-10 individual stocks (satellite)

Result: Even if your stock picks underperform, the XEQT core protects you.

When Individual Stocks Make Sense

You might consider individual stocks if:

✅ You have 10+ hours per week to dedicate to research ✅ You have 5+ years of investing experience ✅ You genuinely enjoy analyzing companies ✅ You have a large portfolio (>$500k) where diversification is easier ✅ You can control your emotions during volatility ✅ You view it as a hobby, not your primary wealth builder ✅ You’re willing to accept lower returns for the learning experience

When XEQT Is the Better Choice

XEQT is better if:

✅ You’re a beginner investor ✅ You have limited time for investing research ✅ You want to minimize stress and enjoy life ✅ You value consistent, predictable returns ✅ You understand that boring wins in investing ✅ You want to set and forget your portfolio ✅ You’re 99% of investors (statistically speaking)

Common Myths About Stock Picking

Myth 1: “I can beat the market with research”

Reality: Even professional fund managers with teams of analysts fail to beat the market 89% of the time over 15 years.

Myth 2: “Diversification limits my returns”

Reality: Diversification actually improves risk-adjusted returns by eliminating company-specific risk.

Myth 3: “Stock picking is the path to wealth”

Reality: Most wealthy people got rich through business ownership, real estate, or consistent index investing - not stock picking.

Myth 4: “I just need to find the next Amazon”

Reality: For every Amazon, there are 100 failed companies. Plus, Amazon was in the S&P 500 index, so XEQT-style investors owned it too.

Myth 5: “Index investing is lazy”

Reality: Index investing is smart, not lazy. Warren Buffett recommends index funds for most investors.

The Honest Truth About Stock Picking

What the Data Shows:

• 95% of individual investors underperform index investing
• The average stock picker loses 3-5% annually vs the market
• Even professionals fail - 89% of fund managers underperform
• Costs and taxes erode returns from frequent trading
• Behavioral mistakes hurt more than lack of skill

What This Means for You:

Unless you’re in the top 5% of investors with exceptional skill, discipline, and time, stock picking will likely lead to:

1. Lower returns than XEQT
2. Higher stress and time commitment
3. More risk from concentration
4. Emotional mistakes during volatility

The Verdict: XEQT vs Individual Stocks

For 95% of investors: XEQT wins decisively

Why?

• Higher expected returns (by avoiding underperformance)
• Lower risk (diversification)
• Minimal time commitment
• Lower stress
• Better tax efficiency
• Lower costs

The 5% who might beat XEQT: Professional traders with exceptional skills, unlimited time, emotional discipline, and willingness to accept the risk of underperformance.

Ask yourself: Are you willing to bet your financial future that you’re in the top 5%?

Warren Buffett’s Advice

The world’s greatest investor, Warren Buffett, recommends index funds for most people:

“By periodically investing in an index fund, the know-nothing investor can actually outperform most investment professionals.”

If Warren Buffett recommends index investing over stock picking, shouldn’t we listen?

My Recommendation

Start with 100% XEQT, then consider adding individual stocks only if:

1. Your XEQT portfolio is consistently growing
2. You have 5+ years of successful XEQT investing
3. You have extra time and money to dedicate to stock research
4. You view it as a learning experience, not your wealth-building strategy
5. You limit individual stocks to maximum 10-20% of your portfolio

Remember: XEQT’s “boring” 9% annual returns will make you wealthy over 30 years. Chasing exciting stock picks usually leads to underperformance and regret.

Ready to Start Building Wealth the Simple Way?

Stop gambling with stock picking and start building wealth with proven, low-cost index investing through XEQT.

Remember: Getting rich slowly through boring index funds beats staying poor quickly through exciting stock picks.

Disclosure: This post contains referral links. I may receive compensation if you sign up. The data cited about investor underperformance is from S&P SPIVA reports and academic research on investor behavior.